Showing posts with label Miami Heat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Miami Heat. Show all posts

Saturday, May 28, 2011

2011 NBA Finals Preview/Analysis/Predictions

The most entertaining NBA postseason that I can remember is coming to a close within the next two weeks, and we're closing it out with one of the most exciting potential Finals matchups: Dallas's "Dirk Nowitzki and the Virile Veterans" Experience vs. Miami's "Why, Yes, We Are Bigger/More Important Than Jesus" Ego All-Stars. (I loved that Joseph Kimberly Noah just referred to Miami as being "Hollywood as Hell." It was fairly apt, and I'm going to steal it when referring to egotistical jerks from now on, but c'mon Joseph Kimberly, give Hollywood some credit...) And while I did rate this particular matchup as the most potentially exciting and enthralling, I still would've rather seen Chicago here. I just can't stomach the thought of Miami hoisting the trophy.


Anyway, I'm going to do the "Which team has the edge?" concept with this, but instead of comparing each team's specific position players and bench against each other, I'm going to try to look at which team has the better "best player," the better "second best player," the better "third best player," and so on. How am I going to decide the difference between 2nd and 3rd best on each team (or 3rd and 4th, or 4th and 5th, etc.)? With my old standby: win shares. Specifically playoff win shares. Keep in mind, the win share totals aren't going to necessarily decide which team's player is better, they're just used to sort out the rankings on each side. (And I'll try not to let my blatantly obvious anti-Miami sentiments color this too much.)

Sunday, December 12, 2010

(#11) Heat - (#3) Bulls Series

I'm not a mathematician but I'm pretty sure this equation is accurate "Ultimate Bulls > Ultimate Heat." I know the Heat lamely tried to steal some of Michael Jordan's mojo by retiring his jersey (look it up, it happened. Nobody on the Heat can wear #23...), but I'm buying into their ploys. The Heat might steal a game, maybe even two, but this series is gonna go to the Bulls. Let's find out if I'm right


Friday, December 3, 2010

(#11) Heat - (#6) Hawks Series

Game 1: Heat 112 - Hawks 113


Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 48 11/26 0/0 5/8 3 14 2 9 1 2 4 27
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 40 9/13 4/5 0/0 1 5 8 0 1 2 0 22
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 40 10/20 1/3 4/6 2 4 7 2 4 3 3 25
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 26 3/7 2/3 3/4 1 4 2 0 0 0 2 11
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 24 4/5 0/0 0/0 2 3 1 0 0 2 2 8
2000-01  Brian Grant 15 2/5 0/0 6/7 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 10
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 14 1/7 0/1 1/2 0 4 1 0 0 1 1 3
1991-92  Grant Long 14 1/2 0/0 2/3 4 7 4 0 0 1 0 4
2006-07  James Posey 11 0/1 0/1 0/0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0
2005-06  Jason Williams 6 1/1 0/0 0/0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 2
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 3 0/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTALS   42/88 7/13 21/30 14 45 27 11 6 11 15 112
   
Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 38 12/21 2/2 10/10 3 8 0 2 2 2 2 36
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 38 11/26 1/5 2/2 6 11 6 0 1 2 4 25
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 34 6/11 0/0 0/0 2 6 3 0 0 1 1 12
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 26 4/7 2/2 2/2 2 3 5 0 3 2 3 12
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 20 3/6 0/0 0/0 1 4 5 0 1 1 1 6
2007-08  Joe Johnson 16 1/3 0/1 0/0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 16 0/1 0/0 2/2 1 7 0 2 1 1 0 2
1958-59  Slater Martin 14 1/6 0/0 2/2 1 2 3 0 0 1 2 4
1969-70  Bill Bridges 13 1/2 0/0 0/0 1 4 2 0 0 2 2 2
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 13 3/6 0/1 0/0 0 4 0 0 0 2 2 6
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 12 2/5 0/0 0/0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 4
1976-77  John Drew 1 1/2 0/0 0/0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
TOTALS   45/96 5/11 18/18 19 54 27 4 8 14 22 113
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Dominique Wilkins (Ultimate Hawks)



Game 2: Heat 113 - Hawks 103


Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 48 8/17 0/0 1/2 7 17 4 4 2 3 3 17
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 48 9/20 1/3 7/9 0 12 9 5 2 5 0 26
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 36 9/14 7/8 1/1 0 6 10 1 2 4 3 26
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 30 6/9 0/0 0/0 0 4 1 1 0 3 0 12
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 18 5/8 4/5 0/0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 14
2006-07  James Posey 14 0/0 0/0 3/3 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3
1991-92  Grant Long 13 2/3 0/0 0/1 1 2 1 1 2 0 2 4
2000-01  Brian Grant 9 2/4 0/0 1/1 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 5
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 8 0/4 0/2 0/0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 0
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 8 1/2 0/0 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2
2005-06  Jason Williams 5 1/3 0/1 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2
1991-92  Rony Seikaly 3 1/1 0/0 0/1 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 2
TOTALS   44/85 12/19 13/18 9 48 35 12 8 18 17 113
   
Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 38 9/22 1/2 3/3 5 13 4 0 3 2 2 22
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 37 9/16 0/0 2/6 5 13 3 1 3 2 2 20
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 33 7/15 1/2 1/2 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 16
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 28 5/14 2/3 3/3 4 7 7 0 2 2 4 15
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 19 4/9 0/0 1/2 4 5 5 0 1 2 2 9
2007-08  Joe Johnson 18 2/9 0/2 0/0 0 1 3 0 1 0 1 4
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 16 0/1 0/0 0/2 2 5 1 1 0 3 0 0
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 14 4/9 0/0 2/3 3 9 1 0 0 0 0 10
1958-59  Slater Martin 14 2/4 1/1 0/0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 5
1969-70  Bill Bridges 10 0/0 0/0 0/0 1 4 0 1 0 1 0 0
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 10 1/2 0/0 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2
1976-77  John Drew 2 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
TOTALS   43/101 5/10 12/21 24 59 27 4 11 15 14 103
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Dwyane Wade (Ultimate Heat)



Game 3: Hawks 107 - Heat 109


Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 48 9/23 0/0 1/2 4 14 6 2 1 1 5 19
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 41 10/24 0/4 2/4 4 15 3 0 2 5 1 22
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 32 7/13 1/3 0/0 2 3 5 1 0 0 1 15
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 29 5/10 1/1 4/5 2 2 6 0 1 2 4 15
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 21 5/9 1/1 0/0 4 7 4 2 0 3 2 11
2007-08  Joe Johnson 16 4/6 1/2 0/0 1 1 3 0 1 3 0 9
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 16 3/5 0/0 2/3 3 7 0 2 0 3 2 8
1958-59  Slater Martin 13 1/2 0/0 2/4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 12 1/3 0/1 2/2 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 4
1969-70  Bill Bridges 9 0/1 0/0 0/0 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 2 0/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
1976-77  John Drew 2 0/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTALS   45/98 4/12 13/20 24 57 29 7 7 17 16 107
   
Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 48 10/19 0/0 6/9 3 16 3 4 2 1 2 26
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 48 9/20 1/4 7/8 2 6 11 1 3 5 1 26
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 38 9/17 3/7 0/0 1 9 6 0 2 3 2 21
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 23 2/4 0/0 0/0 2 3 3 3 0 2 3 4
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 20 3/11 2/5 1/1 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 9
2006-07  James Posey 18 3/5 1/3 0/0 1 2 0 0 2 2 3 7
1991-92  Grant Long 16 1/3 0/0 1/1 1 3 2 0 0 1 1 3
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 14 4/5 2/3 1/1 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 11
2005-06  Jason Williams 7 1/1 0/0 0/0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 2
2000-01  Brian Grant 6 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 2 0 1 2 1 1 0
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 2 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
TOTALS   42/85 9/22 16/20 10 42 31 9 12 18 18 109
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Alonzo Mourning (Ultimate Heat)



Game 4: Hawks 94 - Heat 115


Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 42 8/17 0/0 9/13 6 13 5 1 1 4 4 25
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 35 8/24 1/3 7/10 5 10 1 1 2 2 3 24
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 27 2/7 0/1 3/3 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 7
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 24 1/3 0/0 0/0 1 2 5 0 0 1 0 2
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 22 3/7 0/1 6/6 0 5 1 0 1 2 0 12
2007-08  Joe Johnson 18 2/5 1/3 2/3 1 2 3 1 0 1 2 7
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 17 1/3 0/0 0/0 2 10 0 1 0 1 2 2
1958-59  Slater Martin 16 2/5 0/0 0/0 1 1 0 0 1 0 3 4
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 14 0/4 0/1 1/2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
1976-77  John Drew 9 1/4 0/1 2/2 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 4
1969-70  Bill Bridges 8 2/3 0/0 0/0 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 4
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 8 1/4 0/1 0/0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 2
TOTALS   31/86 2/11 30/39 20 51 18 5 7 14 19 94
   
Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 41 12/19 1/2 7/10 0 3 8 4 2 7 5 32
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 37 8/14 0/0 7/8 5 15 2 7 1 2 5 23
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 36 4/13 2/7 3/3 0 3 11 0 0 1 1 13
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 30 6/10 4/5 1/1 0 2 3 1 1 1 3 17
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 20 2/4 0/0 0/0 1 6 4 0 0 0 2 4
2000-01  Brian Grant 18 2/4 0/0 4/4 0 5 2 1 0 2 2 8
2006-07  James Posey 14 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 6 1 0 0 0 1 0
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 14 2/6 0/2 0/0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 4
1991-92  Grant Long 12 1/3 0/0 0/0 1 4 1 1 1 1 3 2
1991-92  Rony Seikaly 6 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 6 1/2 0/0 3/4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5
2005-06  Jason Williams 5 3/3 1/1 0/0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
TOTALS   41/78 8/17 25/30 7 49 35 14 6 15 23 115
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Alonzo Mourning (Ultimate Heat)



Game 5: Heat 99 - Hawks 102


Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 48 8/17 0/0 6/6 5 21 3 9 0 0 4 22
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 44 10/22 0/4 3/6 2 9 10 1 0 2 4 23
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 38 5/14 2/4 3/6 1 3 7 0 0 3 1 15
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 29 3/9 0/0 2/2 2 4 2 1 0 1 4 8
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 24 1/5 1/2 0/0 1 4 2 0 0 1 1 3
2006-07  James Posey 19 3/6 1/3 0/0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 7
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 12 3/6 1/1 2/2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 9
1991-92  Grant Long 11 2/5 0/0 4/4 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 8
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 5 1/3 0/0 0/0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 2
2005-06  Jason Williams 5 0/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
2000-01  Brian Grant 5 1/1 0/0 0/0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
TOTALS   37/89 5/14 20/26 16 51 29 11 0 9 15 99
   
Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 43 6/14 0/3 12/12 3 9 7 1 0 0 0 24
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 35 6/19 0/0 0/0 2 11 4 1 0 0 4 12
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 31 4/12 0/1 0/0 1 3 2 0 0 1 5 8
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 28 6/15 0/0 1/2 4 4 5 0 0 3 2 13
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 24 5/10 1/4 1/1 2 4 3 0 2 1 3 12
1969-70  Bill Bridges 17 2/3 0/0 1/1 3 6 1 0 2 0 1 5
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 16 5/8 0/0 0/0 2 9 1 1 0 0 0 10
1958-59  Slater Martin 13 0/0 0/0 0/0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 12 2/4 0/0 2/2 1 5 0 1 0 0 2 6
2007-08  Joe Johnson 12 4/8 0/2 0/0 0 4 4 0 0 2 1 8
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 11 1/3 0/0 2/2 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 4
TOTALS   41/96 1/10 19/20 19 59 27 5 4 8 18 102
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Dominique Wilkins (Ultimate Hawks)



Game 6: Hawks 95 - Heat 103


Ultimate Hawks
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
1963-64  Bob Pettit* 48 14/27 1/3 7/11 9 20 1 1 3 2 2 36
1990-91  Dominique Wilkins* 38 8/19 0/2 0/0 4 12 3 0 0 3 2 16
1971-72  Lou Hudson* 37 4/14 0/2 3/3 0 4 3 1 0 6 3 11
1967-68  Lenny Wilkens* 27 4/5 1/2 0/0 2 3 2 0 0 1 3 9
1959-60  Cliff Hagan* 24 3/8 0/0 0/0 3 5 2 0 1 3 2 6
1958-59  Slater Martin 15 1/8 0/1 1/3 3 3 3 0 0 0 2 3
1999-00  Dikembe Mutombo 14 1/2 0/0 1/2 2 4 1 1 0 1 2 3
2007-08  Joe Johnson 13 1/2 0/0 0/0 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 2
1965-66  Zelmo Beaty 11 0/1 0/0 0/0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 0
1982-83  Dan Roundfield 11 1/3 0/0 3/3 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5
1969-70  Bill Bridges 4 2/2 0/0 0/0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 4
TOTALS   39/91 2/10 15/22 27 60 18 3 4 16 21 95
   
Ultimate Heat
PLAYER MIN FGM/FGA 3PM/3PA FTM/FTA OREB REB AST BLK STL TO PF TP
2008-09  Dwyane Wade* 48 12/28 2/4 5/6 1 4 6 1 4 2 2 31
1998-99  Alonzo Mourning* 40 4/6 0/0 6/9 2 10 3 5 0 2 5 14
1996-97  Tim Hardaway* 39 5/12 3/7 6/6 2 3 7 0 4 1 1 19
1997-98  Voshon Lenard 30 3/9 1/3 0/0 1 4 4 0 3 1 2 7
2004-05  Udonis Haslem* 24 2/5 0/1 3/3 2 7 0 0 0 1 1 7
2006-07  James Posey 14 1/1 1/1 0/0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 3
2001-02  Eddie Jones* 12 4/7 1/3 2/2 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 11
1991-92  Grant Long 11 1/1 0/0 1/1 1 4 0 0 0 0 1 3
2000-01  Brian Grant 9 2/5 0/0 0/0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4
2005-06  Jason Williams 5 0/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
1991-92  Rony Seikaly 4 0/1 0/0 2/2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2
1992-93  Bimbo Coles 4 1/1 0/0 0/0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2
TOTALS   35/77 8/19 25/29 9 39 24 7 11 9 18 103
   
* - denotes game starter
Player of the Game
Bob Pettit (Ultimate Hawks)



I was actually expecting this series to go seven, and I would've put my money on the Hawks with the Pettit/Wilkins/Wilkens combo over the Mourning/Wade/Hardaway combo. Of course, I can't see it mattering a whole lot as the Heat now have to play the Bulls in the next round.